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Dave Tindall’s Pick 4 Preview

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Inter v Benevento

Go through the leagues around Europe and you’ll struggle to find anyone as inept as Benevento on the road.

Serie A’s bottom club have played 12 games away from home and lost the lot. They’ve managed a paltry five goals and shipped 30, although they did score twice in a 5-2 defeat at Roma on their last road trip.

Inter have fallen out of the top four so will be motivated to get back into a Champions League spot and at the San Siro they generally impress, losing just once all season.

There’s a slight concern the goals have dried up a little for Inter and as they’ve not managed more than two in a game since a 5-0 thumping of Chievo back in early December. However, Over 2.5 has landed in five of Benevento’s last six games and Inter should be able to help themselves to a few.

Prediction: 2-0, 3-0, 3-1, Other Home Win

 

Cardiff v Bristol City

Second-placed Cardiff closed the gap on Wolves with a 1-0 win at Ipswich in midweek and have now won six out of eight in the Championship so are on a bit of a roll.

Before a 2-2 draw at Leeds, sixth-placed Bristol City had fired blanks on the road in four of their previous five away games and in all competitions they haven’t returned home with a win in their last seven.

That suggests BTTS isn’t necessarily the case here, especially as Cardiff have the tightest home defence in the second tier having conceded just 10 times in 16 homes matches.

The Bluebirds have tended to be efficient rather than rampant in terms of goals so I won’t veer into Other Home win territory as they’ve bagged four at home just once all season (to bottom club Sunderland).

Prediction: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-1, 1-1

 

Man Utd v Chelsea

There’s a plethora of attacking talent on show but the ultra-cautious Jose Mourinho will, as always, be very reluctant to let the horses run free against dangerous opposition and I see this as an Unders game.

History backs that up. Go through the last 12 meetings between the two Premier League giants and the goal make-ups have been 1-2-1-4-2-0-1-2-4-0-1-1. Notably, Chelsea have lost just one of those games.

United did win this fixture 2-0 last season and could just nick it again this time but if they do I think it’s by the minimum margin.

Low-scoring draws are definitely in play while the three lowest Chelsea win scorelines I want onside as well.

Prediction: 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, 0-2, 1-2

 

Roma v AC Milan

Milan may be down in seventh place but they’ve won six and drawn two of their last eight matches so are one of Serie A’s hottest teams on current form.

Roma did string three wins together recently after a real dip but they lost 2-1 away to Shakhtar in the Champions League on Wednesday night and, aside from a 5-2 win over bottom-placed Benevento, their home form has been poor with three losses and a draw in the previous four.

Games have been pretty tight between this pair in the Stadio Olimpico – 1-0, 1-1 and 0-0 the previous three – so, as the mojo is with Milan, I fancy a couple of narrow away wins. That idea is supported by the visitors having kept four clean sheets in their last five games.

Prediction: 1-1, 0-1, 0-2

 

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